What is Brier Score and how is it used in evaluation?

Updated May 17, 2026

Short answer

Brier Score measures mean squared difference between predicted probabilities and actual outcomes.

Deep explanation

It evaluates probabilistic predictions by penalizing distance between predicted probability and actual binary outcome. Unlike accuracy, it evaluates confidence quality. Lower is better, with 0 being perfect. It is especially useful in weather forecasting, risk prediction, and medical diagnosis.

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