How does Random Forest behave in the presence of latent confounding variables?

Updated May 17, 2026

Short answer

RF may capture spurious correlations induced by latent confounders.

Deep explanation

If an unobserved variable influences both features and target, RF may incorrectly learn surrogate splits that proxy for confounders. Since RF is purely predictive, not causal, it cannot distinguish correlation from causation, making it vulnerable to confounding bias.

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